Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group G Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of World Cup Group G. This event is crucial as it determines which teams advance to the knockout stage, impacting national pride and future matchups in the tournament.
Belgium leads the “World Cup Group G Winner” event at 69.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Egypt (18.0%), Iran (7.5%), and New Zealand (3.1%). A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical success in international tournaments can all affect the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting patterns may shift as the event approaches.
The group stage determines which teams advance to the knockout rounds, making it a critical phase of the tournament. Performance in these matches can set the tone for a team's chances of winning the World Cup.
Matches for World Cup Group G will occur during the group stage, starting on June 27, 2026. The exact schedule will be released closer to the tournament date.
World Cup Group G Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Belgium leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Egypt at 18%, Iran at 7%, New Zealand at 3%.
Belgium currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Belgium, Egypt at 18% and Iran at 7% and New Zealand at 3% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf New Zealand finish first in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Belgium
69.0% avg
