Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group H Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the World Cup Group H Winner. The outcome will impact team standings and progression in the tournament, making it a focal point for fans and analysts alike.
Spain leads the “World Cup Group H Winner” event at 59.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Saudi Arabia (33.5%), Uruguay (18.7%), and Cape Verde (1.0%). A 96.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical performance in previous tournaments.
Prediction markets adjust in real-time based on news, such as player transfers, match results, and expert analyses, reflecting the latest insights.
Winning Group H determines which teams advance to the knockout stage, affecting their chances of winning the World Cup and altering matchups.
World Cup Group H Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun). Spain leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Saudi Arabia at 50%, Uruguay at 18%, Cape Verde at 1%.
Spain currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Spain, Saudi Arabia at 50% and Uruguay at 18% and Cape Verde at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 96.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Cape Verde finish first in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.\n\nIf multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA or any participating teams. Any references to FIFA or related events are for informational purposes only.'}
Spain
59.3% avg
