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Live prediction market odds for Austria vs. Argentina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Austria vs. Argentina

2026-06-22

About This Market

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Austria vs. Argentina — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Argentina leads the “Austria vs. Argentina” event at 62.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (23.5%), and Austria (15.5%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
A
ArgentinaARB
62% Avg
Kalshi61¢
Polymarket63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
60.5%60¢61¢39¢40¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
D
Draw
24% Avg
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
A
Austria
16% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Austria vs. Argentina" and why does it matter?

Austria vs. Argentina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Argentina leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 24%, Austria at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Austria vs. Argentina"?

Argentina currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Argentina, Draw at 24% and Austria at 16% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Austria vs. Argentina" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Argentina: 61¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 24¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Austria: 16¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Argentina is at 62%?

A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Argentina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks

Market Rulebook: Austria vs. Argentina

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Argentina vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Argentina vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Argentina

62.0% avg