Live prediction market odds for Austria vs. Spain. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-02
Austria vs. Spain — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-07-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Spain leads the “Austria vs. Spain” event at 76.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (18.0%), and Austria (7.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Austria vs. Spain is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Spain leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 18%, Austria at 7%.
Spain currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind Spain, Draw at 18% and Austria at 7% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Spain: 76¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 18¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Austria: 7¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 76¢ means the market estimates a 76% probability that Spain will be the outcome. Buying one share at 76¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 32% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Austria vs. Spain” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Spain
76.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Spain wins the Spain vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Spain vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
