Live prediction market odds for Croatia vs. Portugal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-02
Croatia vs. Portugal — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-07-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Portugal leads the “Croatia vs. Portugal” event at 54.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (29.0%), and Croatia (19.5%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Croatia vs. Portugal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portugal leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 29%, Croatia at 20%.
Portugal currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Portugal, Draw at 29% and Croatia at 20% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portugal: 55¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 30¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Croatia: 19¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Portugal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Croatia vs. Portugal” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Portugal
54.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Portugal wins the Portugal vs Croatia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Portugal vs Croatia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Portugal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
