Live prediction market odds for France vs. Norway. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-26
France vs. Norway — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
France leads the “France vs. Norway” event at 52.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (26.0%), and Norway (22.5%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
France vs. Norway is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). France leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 26%, Norway at 23%.
France currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind France, Draw at 26% and Norway at 23% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: France: 52¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Norway: 22¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that France will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Norway wins the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Norway wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
France
52.5% avg
