Live prediction market odds for Germany vs. Ecuador. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Germany vs. Ecuador — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Germany leads the “Germany vs. Ecuador” event at 56.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (24.0%), and Ecuador (19.5%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Germany vs. Ecuador is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Germany leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 24%, Ecuador at 20%.
Germany currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Germany, Draw at 24% and Ecuador at 20% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Germany: 57¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 23¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Ecuador: 19¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Germany will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Germany vs. Ecuador” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Germany wins the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If Germany wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Germany
56.5% avg
