Live prediction market odds for Japan vs. Tunisia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Japan vs. Tunisia — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Japan leads the “Japan vs. Tunisia” event at 64.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (23.5%), and Tunisia (13.5%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Japan vs. Tunisia is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Japan leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 24%, Tunisia at 14%.
Japan currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Japan, Draw at 24% and Tunisia at 14% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Japan: 65¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 24¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Tunisia: 14¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Japan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Japan
64.5% avg
