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Live prediction market odds for Qatar vs. Canada. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Qatar vs. Canada

2026-06-18

About This Market

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Qatar vs. Canada — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Canada leads the “Qatar vs. Canada” event at 76.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (16.5%), and Qatar (8.8%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
C
Canada
76% Avg
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket76¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
75.5%75¢76¢24¢25¢
D
Draw
16% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.5%16¢17¢83¢84¢
Q
Qatar
9% Avg
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Qatar vs. Canada" and why does it matter?

Qatar vs. Canada is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Canada leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 17%, Qatar at 9%.

What is moving the odds on "Qatar vs. Canada"?

Canada currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Canada, Draw at 17% and Qatar at 9% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Qatar vs. Canada" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Canada: 77¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 16¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Qatar: 9¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Canada is at 77%?

A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Canada will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks

Market Rulebook: Qatar vs. Canada

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Qatar wins the Canada vs Qatar professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Canada vs Qatar professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 18, 2026 If Qatar wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Canada

76.5% avg