Live prediction market odds for Spain vs. Uruguay. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-26
Spain vs. Uruguay — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Spain leads the “Spain vs. Uruguay” event at 64.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (22.0%), and Uruguay (16.0%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Spain vs. Uruguay is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Spain leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 22%, Uruguay at 16%.
Spain currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind Spain, Draw at 22% and Uruguay at 16% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Spain: 64¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 21¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Uruguay: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Spain will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Uruguay wins the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Uruguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Spain
64.0% avg
