Live prediction market odds for Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi
Resolved 2026-06-15
This market resolved on 2026-06-15. Tie was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia — FIFA World Cup game held on 2026-06-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
TieWINNER | 99% |
Saudi Arabia | 1% |
Uruguay | 1% |
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia was a prediction market event tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Tie led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Saudi Arabia at 1%, Uruguay at 1%.
Tie held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tie, Saudi Arabia at 1% and Uruguay at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi: Tie: 99¢ on Kalshi. Saudi Arabia: 1¢ on Kalshi. Uruguay: 1¢ on Kalshi. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Tie would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Saudi Arabia wins the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If Saudi Arabia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Tie
99.0% avg
