Live prediction market odds for Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Dalma Galfi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ajla Tomljanovic leads the “Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Dalma Galfi” event at 58.0% implied probability, followed by Dalma Galfi at 44.3%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Dalma Galfi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ajla Tomljanovic leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dalma Galfi at 44%.
Ajla Tomljanovic currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Ajla Tomljanovic, Dalma Galfi at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ajla Tomljanovic: 62¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Dalma Galfi: 43¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Ajla Tomljanovic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dalma Galfi wins the Galfi vs Tomljanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Galfi vs Tomljanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Ajla Tomljanovic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Ajla Tomljanovic. This market will resolve to 'Ajla Tomljanovic' if Ajla Tomljanovic advances against Dalma Galfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ajla Tomljanovic
58.0% avg
