Live prediction market odds for Alina Charaeva vs. Nikola Bartunkova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Alina Charaeva vs. Nikola Bartunkova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nikola Bartunkova leads the “Alina Charaeva vs. Nikola Bartunkova” event at 61.0% implied probability, followed by Alina Charaeva at 39.5%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alina Charaeva vs. Nikola Bartunkova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikola Bartunkova leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alina Charaeva at 40%.
Nikola Bartunkova currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Nikola Bartunkova, Alina Charaeva at 40% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nikola Bartunkova: 63¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Alina Charaeva: 38¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Nikola Bartunkova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Nikola Bartunkova
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nikola Bartunkova wins the Bartunkova vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bartunkova vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Alina Charaeva in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bartunkova” if Nikola Bartunkova wins the first set. It will resolve to “Charaeva” if Alina Charaeva wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
61.0% avg
