Live prediction market odds for Anna-Lena Friedsam vs. Jule Niemeier. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Anna-Lena Friedsam was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Anna-Lena Friedsam vs. Jule Niemeier — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Anna-Lena FriedsamWINNER | 99% | 54% |
Jule Niemeier | 1% | 47% |
Anna-Lena Friedsam vs. Jule Niemeier was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Anna-Lena Friedsam led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jule Niemeier at 24%.
Anna-Lena Friedsam held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Anna-Lena Friedsam, Jule Niemeier at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Anna-Lena Friedsam: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Jule Niemeier: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 45.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Anna-Lena Friedsam would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Anna-Lena Friedsam wins the Niemeier vs Friedsam professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Niemeier vs Friedsam professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Jule Niemeier and Anna-Lena Friedsam in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against Anna-Lena Friedsam. This market will resolve to 'Anna-Lena Friedsam' if Anna-Lena Friedsam advances against Jule Niemeier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anna-Lena Friedsam
76.3% avg
