Live prediction market odds for Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Francesca Jones leads the “Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Beatriz Haddad Maia at 42.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Francesca Jones leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Beatriz Haddad Maia at 43%.
Francesca Jones currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Francesca Jones, Beatriz Haddad Maia at 43% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Francesca Jones: 60¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Beatriz Haddad Maia: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Francesca Jones will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Francesca Jones wins the Jones vs Haddad Maia professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jones vs Haddad Maia professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Beatriz Haddad Maia in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Beatriz Haddad Maia. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Haddad Maia' if Beatriz Haddad Maia advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Francesca Jones
59.0% avg
