Live prediction market odds for Carlota Martinez Cirez vs. Zeynep Sonmez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Carlota Martinez Cirez vs. Zeynep Sonmez — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Zeynep Sonmez leads the “Carlota Martinez Cirez vs. Zeynep Sonmez” event at 81.0% implied probability, followed by Carlota Martinez Cirez at 29.8%. A 11.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Carlota Martinez Cirez vs. Zeynep Sonmez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zeynep Sonmez leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Carlota Martinez Cirez at 30%.
Zeynep Sonmez currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Zeynep Sonmez, Carlota Martinez Cirez at 30% are the next closest contenders. The 11.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zeynep Sonmez: 87¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Carlota Martinez Cirez: 35¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 11.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Zeynep Sonmez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Zeynep Sonmez
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Carlota Martinez Cirez wins the Sonmez vs Martinez Cirez professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonmez vs Martinez Cirez professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Carlota Martinez Cirez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sonmez" if Zeynep Sonmez wins by 2 or more sets than Carlota Martinez Cirez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cirez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
81.0% avg
