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Live prediction market odds for Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Karolina Muchova Wins: Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova

Resolved 2026-04-17

This market resolved on 2026-04-17. Karolina Muchova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-17. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Karolina MuchovaWINNER
99%99%
Coco Gauff
1%1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova" and why did it matter?

Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Karolina Muchova led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Coco Gauff at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova"?

Karolina Muchova held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Karolina Muchova, Coco Gauff at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Karolina Muchova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Coco Gauff: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Karolina Muchova mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Karolina Muchova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Market Rulebook: Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Karolina Muchova wins the Muchova vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Muchova vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Karolina Muchova

99.0% avg

No price history available