Live prediction market odds for Cristina Bucsa vs. Zeynep Sonmez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-24
Cristina Bucsa vs. Zeynep Sonmez — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Zeynep Sonmez leads the “Cristina Bucsa vs. Zeynep Sonmez” event at 61.5% implied probability, followed by Cristina Bucsa at 42.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cristina Bucsa vs. Zeynep Sonmez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zeynep Sonmez leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cristina Bucsa at 42%.
Zeynep Sonmez currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Zeynep Sonmez, Cristina Bucsa at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zeynep Sonmez: 61¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Cristina Bucsa: 46¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Zeynep Sonmez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Zeynep Sonmez wins the Sonmez vs Bucsa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonmez vs Bucsa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Cristina Bucsa in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zeynep Sonmez' if Zeynep Sonmez advances against Cristina Bucsa. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Zeynep Sonmez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Zeynep Sonmez
61.5% avg
