Live prediction market odds for Daria Kasatkina vs. Daria Snigur. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Daria Kasatkina vs. Daria Snigur — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daria Kasatkina leads the “Daria Kasatkina vs. Daria Snigur” event at 68.0% implied probability, followed by Daria Snigur at 34.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Daria Kasatkina vs. Daria Snigur is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daria Kasatkina leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daria Snigur at 34%.
Daria Kasatkina currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Daria Kasatkina, Daria Snigur at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daria Kasatkina: 72¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Daria Snigur: 32¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Daria Kasatkina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daria Kasatkina wins the Snigur vs Kasatkina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Snigur vs Kasatkina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Daria Kasatkina in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daria Kasatkina
68.0% avg
