Live prediction market odds for Daria Kasatkina vs. Mimi Xu. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Daria Kasatkina vs. Mimi Xu — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daria Kasatkina leads the “Daria Kasatkina vs. Mimi Xu” event at 85.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Mimi Xu (15.0%), and Mingge Xu (15.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daria Kasatkina vs. Mimi Xu is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daria Kasatkina leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mimi Xu at 15%, Mingge Xu at 15%.
Daria Kasatkina currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Daria Kasatkina, Mimi Xu at 15% and Mingge Xu at 15% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daria Kasatkina: 86¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket. Mimi Xu: 15¢ on Polymarket. Mingge Xu: 15¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 86¢ means the market estimates a 86% probability that Daria Kasatkina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 86¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 16% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Daria Kasatkina
85.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daria Kasatkina wins the Xu vs Kasatkina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Xu vs Kasatkina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mimi Xu and Daria Kasatkina in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Mimi Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
