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Live prediction market odds for Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek

2026-04-23

About This Market

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Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Iga Swiatek leads the “Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek” event at 96.0% implied probability, followed by Daria Snigur at 5.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
IS
Iga SwiatekARB
96% Avg
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
DS
Daria Snigur
5% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek" and why does it matter?

Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Iga Swiatek leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daria Snigur at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek"?

Iga Swiatek currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Iga Swiatek, Daria Snigur at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Iga Swiatek: 97¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. Daria Snigur: 5¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Iga Swiatek is at 96%?

A price of 96¢ means the market estimates a 96% probability that Iga Swiatek will be the outcome. Buying one share at 96¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 4% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Iga Swiatek wins the Swiatek vs Snigur professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Swiatek vs Snigur professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Daria Snigur in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Daria Snigur. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Iga Swiatek

96.0% avg