Live prediction market odds for Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Dalma Galfi leads the “Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Darja Vidmanova at 48.5%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dalma Galfi leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Darja Vidmanova at 49%.
Dalma Galfi currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Dalma Galfi, Darja Vidmanova at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dalma Galfi: 62¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Darja Vidmanova: 38¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Dalma Galfi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Dalma Galfi
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darja Vidmanova wins the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Darja Vidmanova in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galfi" if Dalma Galfi wins by 2 or more sets than Darja Vidmanova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vidmanova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
51.5% avg
