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Live prediction market odds for Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Dalma Galfi Wins: Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi

Resolved 2026-04-21

This market resolved on 2026-04-21. Dalma Galfi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Dalma GalfiWINNER
99%100%
Darja Vidmanova
1%1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi" and why did it matter?

Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dalma Galfi led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Darja Vidmanova at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi"?

Dalma Galfi held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dalma Galfi, Darja Vidmanova at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dalma Galfi: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Darja Vidmanova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Dalma Galfi mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Dalma Galfi would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Dalma Galfi

99.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Darja Vidmanova wins the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Darja Vidmanova in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galfi" if Dalma Galfi wins by 2 or more sets than Darja Vidmanova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vidmanova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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