About This Market
ShareDarja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-21
This market resolved on 2026-04-21. Dalma Galfi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Dalma GalfiWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Darja Vidmanova | 1% | 1% |
Darja Vidmanova vs. Dalma Galfi was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dalma Galfi led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Darja Vidmanova at 1%.
Dalma Galfi held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dalma Galfi, Darja Vidmanova at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dalma Galfi: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Darja Vidmanova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Dalma Galfi would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Dalma Galfi
99.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darja Vidmanova wins the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Galfi vs Vidmanova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Darja Vidmanova in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galfi" if Dalma Galfi wins by 2 or more sets than Darja Vidmanova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vidmanova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.