Live prediction market odds for Despina Papamichail vs. Simona Waltert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Despina Papamichail vs. Simona Waltert — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Simona Waltert leads the “Despina Papamichail vs. Simona Waltert” event at 69.8% implied probability, followed by Despina Papamichail at 31.3%. A 24.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Despina Papamichail vs. Simona Waltert is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Simona Waltert leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Despina Papamichail at 31%.
Simona Waltert currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Simona Waltert, Despina Papamichail at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 24.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Simona Waltert: 82¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Despina Papamichail: 20¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 24.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Simona Waltert will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Simona Waltert
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Despina Papamichail wins the Waltert vs Papamichail professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Waltert vs Papamichail professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Despina Papamichail in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Waltert" if Simona Waltert wins by 2 or more sets than Despina Papamichail, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Papamichail." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
69.8% avg
