Live prediction market odds for Diana Shnaider vs. Elena Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-16
This market resolved on 2026-04-16. Elena Rybakina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Diana Shnaider vs. Elena Rybakina — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elena RybakinaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Diana Shnaider | 1% | 0% |
Diana Shnaider vs. Elena Rybakina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Diana Shnaider at 1%.
Elena Rybakina held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elena Rybakina, Diana Shnaider at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Diana Shnaider: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Elena Rybakina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Diana Shnaider wins the Rybakina vs Shnaider professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rybakina vs Shnaider professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elena Rybakina
99.5% avg
