Live prediction market odds for Dominika Salkova vs. Simona Waltert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Dominika Salkova vs. Simona Waltert — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Simona Waltert leads the “Dominika Salkova vs. Simona Waltert” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by Dominika Salkova at 49.3%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Dominika Salkova vs. Simona Waltert is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Simona Waltert leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dominika Salkova at 49%.
Simona Waltert currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Simona Waltert, Dominika Salkova at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Simona Waltert: 59¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Dominika Salkova: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Simona Waltert will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Simona Waltert wins the Waltert vs Salkova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Waltert vs Salkova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Dominika Salkova in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Dominika Salkova. This market will resolve to 'Dominika Salkova' if Dominika Salkova advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Simona Waltert
55.3% avg
