Live prediction market odds for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Naomi Osaka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Naomi Osaka — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Naomi Osaka leads the “Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Naomi Osaka” event at 56.3% implied probability, followed by Ekaterina Alexandrova at 44.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Naomi Osaka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Naomi Osaka leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ekaterina Alexandrova at 44%.
Naomi Osaka currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Naomi Osaka, Ekaterina Alexandrova at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Naomi Osaka: 57¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Ekaterina Alexandrova: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Naomi Osaka will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Naomi Osaka
56.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Naomi Osaka wins the Osaka vs Alexandrova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Osaka vs Alexandrova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Naomi Osaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
