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Live prediction market odds for Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Anastasia Potapova Wins: Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova

Resolved 2026-04-27

This market resolved on 2026-04-27. Anastasia Potapova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Anastasia PotapovaWINNER
99%99%
Elena Rybakina
1%1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova" and why did it matter?

Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Anastasia Potapova led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Elena Rybakina at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova"?

Anastasia Potapova held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Anastasia Potapova, Elena Rybakina at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.3% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Anastasia Potapova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Elena Rybakina: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.3% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Anastasia Potapova mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Anastasia Potapova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.3%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Anastasia Potapova

99.2% avg

Market Rulebook: Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Potapova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Anastasia Potapova wins the Potapova vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Potapova vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Anastasia Potapova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rybakina" if Elena Rybakina wins by 2 or more sets than Anastasia Potapova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Potapova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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