Live prediction market odds for Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-26
Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Aryna Sabalenka leads the “Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Elena Rybakina at 46.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aryna Sabalenka leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Elena Rybakina at 47%.
Aryna Sabalenka currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Aryna Sabalenka: 55¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Elena Rybakina: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Aryna Sabalenka will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Aryna Sabalenka
54.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sabalenka vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 26 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
