Live prediction market odds for Elise Mertens vs. Jasmine Paolini. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-09
Elise Mertens vs. Jasmine Paolini — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elise Mertens leads the “Elise Mertens vs. Jasmine Paolini” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Jasmine Paolini at 46.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Elise Mertens vs. Jasmine Paolini is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jasmine Paolini at 46%.
Elise Mertens currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Elise Mertens, Jasmine Paolini at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 54¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Jasmine Paolini: 48¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Elise Mertens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Elise Mertens
54.8% avg
