Live prediction market odds for Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Muchova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-16
This market resolved on 2026-04-16. Karolina Muchova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Muchova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Karolina MuchovaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Elise Mertens | 1% | 0% |
Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Muchova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Karolina Muchova led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Elise Mertens at 1%.
Karolina Muchova held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Karolina Muchova, Elise Mertens at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Karolina Muchova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Elise Mertens: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Karolina Muchova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Muchova” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Karolina Muchova wins the Muchova vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Muchova vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Elise Mertens in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Karolina Muchova
99.5% avg
