Live prediction market odds for Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elise Mertens leads the “Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria” event at 93.3% implied probability, followed by Tatjana Maria at 7.0%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tatjana Maria at 7%.
Elise Mertens currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Elise Mertens, Tatjana Maria at 7% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 94¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. Tatjana Maria: 7¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 93¢ means the market estimates a 93% probability that Elise Mertens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 93¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 8% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tatjana Maria wins the Maria vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Maria vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Elise Mertens in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elise Mertens
93.3% avg
