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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Darja Semenistaja Wins: Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja

Resolved 2026-03-30

This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Darja Semenistaja was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.

About This Market

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Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Darja SemenistajaWINNER
99%65%
Ella Seidel
1%35%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja" and why did it matter?

Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darja Semenistaja led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ella Seidel at 18%.

What moved the odds on "Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja"?

Darja Semenistaja held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Darja Semenistaja, Ella Seidel at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 34.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Darja Semenistaja: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Ella Seidel: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 34.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 82% odds for Darja Semenistaja mean?

A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Darja Semenistaja would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread34.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Darja Semenistaja

82.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ella Seidel wins the Semenistaja vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Semenistaja vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Seidel and Darja Semenistaja in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to "Seidel" if Ella Seidel wins by 2 or more sets than Darja Semenistaja, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Semenistaja." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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