Live prediction market odds for Ella Seidel vs. Emiliana Arango. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-18
Ella Seidel vs. Emiliana Arango — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ella Seidel leads the “Ella Seidel vs. Emiliana Arango” event at 27.5% implied probability, followed by Emiliana Arango at 72.5%. A 53.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Ella Seidel vs. Emiliana Arango is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ella Seidel leads at 28% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Emiliana Arango at 73%.
Ella Seidel currently leads at 28% implied probability. Behind Ella Seidel, Emiliana Arango at 73% are the next closest contenders. The 53.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ella Seidel: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Emiliana Arango: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 53.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 28¢ means the market estimates a 28% probability that Ella Seidel will be the outcome. Buying one share at 28¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 257% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ella Seidel wins the Arango vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rabat Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arango vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rabat Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Emiliana Arango and Ella Seidel in the GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Ella Seidel. This market will resolve to 'Ella Seidel' if Ella Seidel advances against Emiliana Arango. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ella Seidel
27.5% avg
