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Live prediction market odds for Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Linda Noskova Wins: Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova

Resolved 2026-04-24

This market resolved on 2026-04-24. Linda Noskova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Linda NoskovaWINNER
99%100%
Emiliana Arango
1%0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova" and why did it matter?

Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Linda Noskova led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Emiliana Arango at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova"?

Linda Noskova held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Linda Noskova, Emiliana Arango at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Linda Noskova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Emiliana Arango: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Linda Noskova mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Linda Noskova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Market Rulebook: Emiliana Arango vs. Linda Noskova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Linda Noskova wins the Noskova vs Arango professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Noskova vs Arango professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Emiliana Arango in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Emiliana Arango. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Linda Noskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Linda Noskova

99.5% avg