Live prediction market odds for Emiliana Arango vs. Talia Gibson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Emiliana Arango vs. Talia Gibson — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Emiliana Arango leads the “Emiliana Arango vs. Talia Gibson” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Talia Gibson at 40.8%. A 22.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Emiliana Arango vs. Talia Gibson is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Emiliana Arango leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Talia Gibson at 41%.
Emiliana Arango currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Emiliana Arango, Talia Gibson at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Emiliana Arango: 48¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Talia Gibson: 52¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Emiliana Arango will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Emiliana Arango
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Emiliana Arango wins the Gibson vs Arango professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gibson vs Arango professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Emiliana Arango in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gibson" if Talia Gibson wins by 2 or more sets than Emiliana Arango, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arango." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
59.0% avg
