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Live prediction market odds for Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua

2026-05-04

About This Market

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Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Renata Zarazua leads the “Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua” event at 82.8% implied probability, followed by Federica Urgesi at 16.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
RZ
Renata Zarazua
82% Avg
Kalshi83¢
Polymarket83¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
82.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
PolymarketPolymarket
82.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
FU
Federica Urgesi
16% Avg
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua" and why does it matter?

Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Renata Zarazua leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Federica Urgesi at 17%.

What is moving the odds on "Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua"?

Renata Zarazua currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Renata Zarazua, Federica Urgesi at 17% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Federica Urgesi vs. Renata Zarazua" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Renata Zarazua: 83¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Federica Urgesi: 17¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Renata Zarazua is at 83%?

A price of 83¢ means the market estimates a 83% probability that Renata Zarazua will be the outcome. Buying one share at 83¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 20% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$463
Leader

Renata Zarazua

82.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?