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Live prediction market odds for Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson

2026-06-15

About This Market

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Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Talia Gibson leads the “Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson” event at 73.3% implied probability, followed by Francesca Jones at 27.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
TG
Talia GibsonARB
74% Avg
Kalshi75¢
Polymarket73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
74.5%74¢75¢25¢26¢
PolymarketPolymarket
72.5%72¢73¢27¢28¢
FJ
Francesca Jones
27% Avg
Kalshi27¢
Polymarket28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.5%27¢28¢72¢73¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson" and why does it matter?

Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Talia Gibson leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Francesca Jones at 27%.

What is moving the odds on "Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson"?

Talia Gibson currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind Talia Gibson, Francesca Jones at 27% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Talia Gibson: 74¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Francesca Jones: 27¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Talia Gibson is at 73%?

A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that Talia Gibson will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Francesca Jones vs. Talia Gibson

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Francesca Jones wins the Gibson vs Jones professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Nottingham Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Gibson vs Jones professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Nottingham Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Francesca Jones in the Nottingham Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Francesca Jones. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Talia Gibson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Talia Gibson

73.3% avg