Live prediction market odds for Hailey Baptiste vs. Aryna Sabalenka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-25
Hailey Baptiste vs. Aryna Sabalenka — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Aryna Sabalenka leads the “Hailey Baptiste vs. Aryna Sabalenka” event at 92.0% implied probability, followed by Hailey Baptiste at 9.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Hailey Baptiste vs. Aryna Sabalenka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aryna Sabalenka leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hailey Baptiste at 10%.
Aryna Sabalenka currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Aryna Sabalenka, Hailey Baptiste at 10% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Aryna Sabalenka: 93¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Hailey Baptiste: 10¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 92¢ means the market estimates a 92% probability that Aryna Sabalenka will be the outcome. Buying one share at 92¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 9% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Aryna Sabalenka
92.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sabalenka vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
