Live prediction market odds for Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Pliskova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-02
Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Pliskova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Iga Swiatek leads the “Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Pliskova” event at 78.0% implied probability, followed by Karolina Pliskova at 21.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Pliskova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Iga Swiatek leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Karolina Pliskova at 22%.
Iga Swiatek currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Iga Swiatek, Karolina Pliskova at 22% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Iga Swiatek: 78¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Karolina Pliskova: 21¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Iga Swiatek will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Pliskova” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Iga Swiatek
78.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Karolina Pliskova wins the Pliskova vs Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pliskova vs Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Pliskova and Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Karolina Pliskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
