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Live prediction market odds for Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka

2026-05-11

About This Market

Share

Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Iga Swiatek leads the “Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka” event at 75.5% implied probability, followed by Naomi Osaka at 25.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
IS
Iga Swiatek
75% Avg
Kalshi76¢
Polymarket75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
75.0%74¢76¢24¢26¢
PolymarketPolymarket
74.0%73¢75¢25¢27¢
NO
Naomi Osaka
25% Avg
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka" and why does it matter?

Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Iga Swiatek leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Naomi Osaka at 26%.

What is moving the odds on "Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka"?

Iga Swiatek currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind Iga Swiatek, Naomi Osaka at 26% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Iga Swiatek vs. Naomi Osaka" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Iga Swiatek: 76¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Naomi Osaka: 26¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Iga Swiatek is at 76%?

A price of 76¢ means the market estimates a 76% probability that Iga Swiatek will be the outcome. Buying one share at 76¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 32% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$28K
Leader

Iga Swiatek

75.5% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?