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Live prediction market odds for Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Kalshi

Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova

2026-06-24

About This Market

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Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Karolina Muchova leads the “Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova” event at 85.0% implied probability, followed by Irina-Camelia Begu at 16.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
KM
Karolina Muchova
85% Avg
Kalshi85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
84.5%84¢85¢15¢16¢
IB
Irina-Camelia Begu
16% Avg
Kalshi16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova" and why does it matter?

Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Karolina Muchova leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Irina-Camelia Begu at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova"?

Karolina Muchova currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Karolina Muchova, Irina-Camelia Begu at 16% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Karolina Muchova: 85¢ on Kalshi. Irina-Camelia Begu: 16¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Karolina Muchova is at 85%?

A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Karolina Muchova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread0.0%

Market Rulebook: Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Karolina Muchova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Irina-Camelia Begu wins the Muchova vs Begu professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Muchova vs Begu professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Irina-Camelia Begu in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Irina-Camelia Begu. This market will resolve to 'Irina-Camelia Begu' if Irina-Camelia Begu advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Platforms
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Candidates2
Leader

Karolina Muchova

85.0% avg