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Live prediction market odds for Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund

2026-04-21

About This Market

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Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Laura Siegemund leads the “Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund” event at 58.0% implied probability, followed by Irina-Camelia Begu at 44.8%. A 14.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
LS
Laura SiegemundARB
59% Avg
Kalshi68¢
Polymarket56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
66.5%65¢68¢32¢35¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.0%46¢56¢44¢54¢
IB
Irina-Camelia Begu
45% Avg
Kalshi55¢
Polymarket54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
40.5%26¢55¢45¢74¢
PolymarketPolymarket
49.0%44¢54¢46¢56¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund" and why does it matter?

Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Laura Siegemund leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Irina-Camelia Begu at 45%.

What is moving the odds on "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund"?

Laura Siegemund currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Laura Siegemund, Irina-Camelia Begu at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Laura Siegemund: 65¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Irina-Camelia Begu: 41¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 14.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Laura Siegemund is at 58%?

A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Laura Siegemund will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread14.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Laura Siegemund

Market Rulebook: Irina-Camelia Begu vs. Laura Siegemund

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Irina-Camelia Begu wins the Siegemund vs Begu professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Siegemund vs Begu professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Siegemund and Irina-Camelia Begu in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Siegemund" if Laura Siegemund wins by 2 or more sets than Irina-Camelia Begu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Begu." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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58.0% avg