Live prediction market odds for Jaqueline Cristian vs. Aryna Sabalenka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-25
This market resolved on 2026-04-25. Aryna Sabalenka was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Jaqueline Cristian vs. Aryna Sabalenka — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Aryna SabalenkaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Jaqueline Cristian | 1% | 0% |
Jaqueline Cristian vs. Aryna Sabalenka was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aryna Sabalenka led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jaqueline Cristian at 1%.
Aryna Sabalenka held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Aryna Sabalenka, Jaqueline Cristian at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Aryna Sabalenka: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Jaqueline Cristian: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Aryna Sabalenka would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Aryna Sabalenka
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jaqueline Cristian wins the Sabalenka vs Cristian professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sabalenka vs Cristian professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jaqueline Cristian in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sabalenka” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cristian” if Jaqueline Cristian wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
