Live prediction market odds for Jasmine Paolini vs. Laura Siegemund. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Jasmine Paolini vs. Laura Siegemund — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jasmine Paolini leads the “Jasmine Paolini vs. Laura Siegemund” event at 74.5% implied probability, followed by Laura Siegemund at 26.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Laura Siegemund is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jasmine Paolini leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Laura Siegemund at 26%.
Jasmine Paolini currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Jasmine Paolini, Laura Siegemund at 26% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jasmine Paolini: 75¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Laura Siegemund: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Jasmine Paolini will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jasmine Paolini wins the Siegemund vs Paolini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Siegemund vs Paolini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Laura Siegemund and Jasmine Paolini in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Siegemund' if Laura Siegemund advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Laura Siegemund. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jasmine Paolini
74.5% avg
