Live prediction market odds for Jasmine Paolini vs. Zeynep Sonmez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-14
This market resolved on 2026-04-14. Zeynep Sonmez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Zeynep Sonmez — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Zeynep SonmezWINNER | 99% | 23% |
Jasmine Paolini | 1% | 77% |
Jasmine Paolini vs. Zeynep Sonmez was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zeynep Sonmez led the market at 61% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jasmine Paolini at 39%.
Zeynep Sonmez held the lead at 61% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Zeynep Sonmez, Jasmine Paolini at 39% were the next closest contenders. The 76.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zeynep Sonmez: 99¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Jasmine Paolini: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. The 76.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ meant the market estimated a 61% chance that Zeynep Sonmez would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 61¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 64% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jasmine Paolini wins the Sonmez vs Paolini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonmez vs Paolini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Jasmine Paolini in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, scheduled for April 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zeynep Sonmez' if Zeynep Sonmez advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Zeynep Sonmez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Zeynep Sonmez
61.0% avg
