Live prediction market odds for Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-25
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elena Rybakina leads the “Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina” event at 67.5% implied probability, followed by Jessica Pegula at 33.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jessica Pegula at 34%.
Elena Rybakina currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula at 34% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Jessica Pegula: 34¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Elena Rybakina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Elena Rybakina
67.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Elena Rybakina wins the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
