Live prediction market odds for Jessica Pieri vs. Alina Charaeva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Alina Charaeva was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Jessica Pieri vs. Alina Charaeva — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alina CharaevaWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Jessica Pieri | 1% | 21% |
Jessica Pieri vs. Alina Charaeva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alina Charaeva led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jessica Pieri at 11%.
Alina Charaeva held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alina Charaeva, Jessica Pieri at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alina Charaeva: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Jessica Pieri: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 20.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Alina Charaeva would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jessica Pieri wins the Charaeva vs Pieri professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Charaeva vs Pieri professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Jessica Pieri in the Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification, scheduled for April 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Jessica Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pieri' if Jessica Pieri advances against Alina Charaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alina Charaeva
89.0% avg
