Live prediction market odds for Julie Belgraver vs. Elvina Kalieva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Elvina Kalieva was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Julie Belgraver vs. Elvina Kalieva — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elvina KalievaWINNER | 99% | 78% |
Julie Belgraver | 1% | 22% |
Julie Belgraver vs. Elvina Kalieva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elvina Kalieva led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Julie Belgraver at 12%.
Elvina Kalieva held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elvina Kalieva, Julie Belgraver at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elvina Kalieva: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Julie Belgraver: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Elvina Kalieva would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Julie Belgraver wins the Kalieva vs Belgraver professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kalieva vs Belgraver professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Julie Belgraver in the Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification, scheduled for April 12 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Julie Belgraver. This market will resolve to 'Julie Belgraver' if Julie Belgraver advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elvina Kalieva
88.5% avg
