Live prediction market odds for Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Hailey Baptiste. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Hailey Baptiste — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Hailey Baptiste leads the “Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Hailey Baptiste” event at 68.3% implied probability, followed by Kaitlin Quevedo at 33.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Hailey Baptiste is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hailey Baptiste leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kaitlin Quevedo at 33%.
Hailey Baptiste currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Hailey Baptiste, Kaitlin Quevedo at 33% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hailey Baptiste: 69¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Kaitlin Quevedo: 34¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Hailey Baptiste will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hailey Baptiste wins the Baptiste vs Quevedo professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baptiste vs Quevedo professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Hailey Baptiste and Kaitlin Quevedo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Hailey Baptiste. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hailey Baptiste
68.3% avg
