Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-19
This market resolved on 2026-04-19. Elena Rybakina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elena RybakinaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Karolina Muchova | 1% | 0% |
Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Karolina Muchova at 1%.
Elena Rybakina held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elena Rybakina, Karolina Muchova at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Karolina Muchova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Elena Rybakina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Elena Rybakina
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Karolina Muchova wins the Rybakina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rybakina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rybakina" if Elena Rybakina wins by 2 or more sets than Karolina Muchova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Muchova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
