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Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina

2026-04-19

About This Market

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Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Elena Rybakina leads the “Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Karolina Muchova at 43.5%. A 25.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
ER
Elena RybakinaARB
58% Avg
Kalshi70¢
Polymarket46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
69.5%69¢70¢30¢31¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.5%45¢46¢54¢55¢
KM
Karolina MuchovaARB
43% Avg
Kalshi32¢
Polymarket55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
31.0%30¢32¢68¢70¢
PolymarketPolymarket
54.5%54¢55¢45¢46¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina" and why does it matter?

Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Karolina Muchova at 44%.

What is moving the odds on "Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina"?

Elena Rybakina currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Elena Rybakina, Karolina Muchova at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 25.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 70¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Karolina Muchova: 32¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 25.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Elena Rybakina is at 58%?

A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Elena Rybakina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread25.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Elena Rybakina

Market Rulebook: Karolina Muchova vs. Elena Rybakina

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Karolina Muchova wins the Rybakina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Rybakina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rybakina" if Elena Rybakina wins by 2 or more sets than Karolina Muchova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Muchova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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57.5% avg